The Euro. One Currency Many Cash Policies.
Grasping the Monetary policy concept with, the Euro Zone.
The most ambitious project of the European Union
much more profound than the EuroFighter is at risk today. Monetary policies are
going to play a crucial role in revitalising the euro. This article is going to
touch on the supply, interest rates and initiatives to boost economic growth that are taking place through this policy. These
policies will have a major contribution to the current euro zone crises. Trying
to understand the policies being adapted and linking monetary policy concept with this real case study.
The supply of the Euro is controlled by the
European Central Bank (ECB).Currently headed by Mr Mario Draghi. This banker has an extremely
challenging job on his hands. The graph below shows the money released into the
market by ECB and its circulation.
The graph above gives us an idea of the amount of bank notes in circulation.The data is from July 2009, keep in mind the euro
crises surfaced at about the same time. As we take an overall view of the graph, take note of the general trend of increase in the circulation of the Euro. This
indicated that from July 2009 to July 2012 the ECB was adopting an expansionary
monetary policy. This sort of policy usually involves increasing the money
supply. Take a look at the the line right after July 2012 you will notice there is a downward trend.This may be an indication that the ECB is now concerned about inflation.Its about time they put in some measures as the CPI for the third and fourth quarter was above the predicted level.The notorious riots by the Europeans have also made this very clear.
As of October 2012 the Euro-zone interest rates are at 0.75%.The prime reason to hold the rate is to curb inflation,specially the rise in CPI.Which for peculiar reasons is recently violently spiking.The reasons are not that peculiar considering the rising commodity pressure and excessively weak aggregated demand.Among other reasons the ECB is also trying to promote economic growth by holding rates down.It hopes to make borrowing cheap which may convince people to start new business or increase consumption.The later will help deal with low aggregated demand.The hope of a much expected recovery in real terms in the coming quarter is now disintegrated with regards to Mr Draghi's decision to hold the interest rates.The graph below shows the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) on monthly bases from October 2008 to October 2011.
The above graph shows how the HICP is fluctuating and this directly impacts price stability.Price stability is another crucial component of the monetary policy.The ECB measures price stability as a year-on-year increase in the HICP. Currently the Index lies at 2.5 and has been fluctuation within 2.3 and 2.7 since the start of 2012.It is more or less the same as the CPI.The price stability in the euro zone is not very good. Price stability in the midst of a crises is something extremely difficult to attain.It is expected to worsen as oil prices will start to recover due to the winter.The general trend seems more or less in line with what you would expect while a crisis that seems to stretch on forever.